Church & Dwight DCF Stock Analysis. Buy or Sell?

Church & Dwight DCF Stock Analysis. Buy or Sell?

Church & Dwight DCF Stock Analysis.

Here’s my assumptions:

Risk Free Rate (10 Years Interest Rate Swap): 4.08%

Risk Premium (Taken from the Aswath Damodaran equity premium spreadsheet): 4.62%

Interest Rate Spread on The Risk free rate ( For the cost of debt calculation): 4.5%

Historical Data

Revenue growth in the last 10 years (CAGR): 5.17%

Earnings growth in the last 10 years (CAGR): 4.85%

Unlevered Free Cash Flow growth in the last 10 years (CAGR): 7.43%

Future Assumptions

End of Year FCF growth: 4%

Growth until end of 2026: 5%

Growth until end of 2034: 5%

Perpetual growth: 3%

Net Debt: 1.796B

Outstanding Stock Options Present Value Assumption: $0.372B

Assumptions used for the Black & Scholes model:

  • Stock Price: $100.50
  • Strike Price: $77.10
  • Time to expiration: 6 years
  • Risk Free Rate: 4.62%
  • Volatility: 22.3%

Stock Valuation based on these assumptions: $116

Last update 02/08/2026

All the content in this newsletter should be taken as informational content only. THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE! Do your own Due Diligence before investing or contact a professional financial advisor.

I don’t have a position in Chruch & Dwight (CHD) and I don’t plan to add a position in the coming days.