Corpay DCF Stock Analysis. Buy or Sell?

Corpay DCF Stock Analysis. Buy or Sell?

Corpay DCF Stock Analysis.

Here’s my assumptions:

Risk Free Rate (10 Years Interest Rate Swap): 4.135%

Risk Premium (Taken from the Aswath Damodaran equity premium spreadsheet): 4.62%

Interest Rate Spread on The Risk free rate ( For the cost of debt calculation): 5.5%

Historical Data

Revenue growth in the last 10 years (CAGR): 7.37%

Earnings growth in the last 10 years (CAGR): 10.72%

Unlevered Free Cash Flow growth in the last 10 years (CAGR): 5.43%

Future Assumptions

End of Year FCF growth: 5%

Growth until end of 2026: 4%

Growth until end of 2034: 4%

Perpetual growth: 2.5%

Net Debt: -1.251B

Outstanding Stock Options Present Value Assumption: $0.328B

Assumptions used for the Black & Scholes model:

  • Stock Price: $320
  • Strike Price: $191.97
  • Time to expiration: 0.5 years
  • Risk Free Rate: 4.135%
  • Volatility: 35%

(I tend to shorten the expiration time of options because I expect them to be exercised before the expiration date.)

Restricted Stock Units Present Value Assumption: $0.147B

Stock Valuation based on these assumptions: $377

Last update 01/18/2026

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All the content in this newsletter should be taken as informational content only. THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE! Do your own Due Diligence before investing or contact a professional financial advisor.

I don’t have a position in Corpay (CPAY) and I don’t plan to add a position in the coming days.