Dollar General Corporation DCF Stock Analysis. Buy or Sell?

Dollar General Corporation DCF Stock Analysis. Buy or Sell?

Dollar General Corporation DCF Stock Analysis.

Here’s my assumptions:

Risk Free Rate (10 Years Interest Rate Swap): 3.95%

Risk Premium (Taken from the Aswath Damodaran equity premium spreadsheet): 4.62%

Interest Rate Spread on The Risk free rate ( For the cost of debt calculation): 5.5%

Historical Data

Revenue growth in the last 10 years (CAGR): 7.09%

Earnings growth in the last 10 years (CAGR): -0.35%

Unlevered Free Cash Flow growth in the last 10 years (CAGR): 5.04%

Future Assumptions

End of Year FCF growth: 5%

Growth until end of 2026: 5%

Growth until end of 2034: 5%

Perpetual growth: 3%

Net Debt: 15.268B

Outstanding Stock Options Present Value Assumption: $0.167B

Assumptions used for the Black & Scholes model:

  • Stock Price: $150
  • Strike Price: $160
  • Time to expiration: 6.7 years
  • Risk Free Rate: 3.95%
  • Volatility: 30.4%

Restricted Stock Units Present Value Assumption: $0.855B

Stock Valuation based on these assumptions: $99.9

Last update 02/22/2026

All the content in this newsletter should be taken as informational content only. THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE! Do your own Due Diligence before investing or contact a professional financial advisor.

I don’t have a position in Dollar General Corporation (DG) and I don’t plan to add a position in the coming days.