Yum! Brands DCF Stock Analysis.

Here’s my assumptions:

Risk Free Rate (10 Years Interest Rate Swap): 4.18%

Risk Premium (Taken from the Aswath Damodaran equity premium spreadsheet): 4.33%

Interest Rate Spread on The Risk free rate ( For the cost of debt calculation): 6%

Historical Data

Revenue growth in the last 10 years (CAGR): 3.18%

Earnings growth in the last 10 years (CAGR): 1.48%

Unlevered Free Cash Flow growth in the last 10 years (CAGR): 11.61%

Future Assumptions

End of Year FCF growth: 5%

Growth until end of 2026: 5%

Growth until end of 2034: 4%

Perpetual growth: 3%

Net Debt: 11.439B

Outstanding Stock Options Present Value Assumption: $0.599B

Assumptions used for the Black & Scholes model:

• Stock Price: $152
• Strike Price: $99.43
• Time to expiration: 6.26 years
• Risk Free Rate: 4.18%
• Volatility: 20.6%

(I tend to shorten the expiration time of options because I expect them to be exercised before the expiration date.)

Restricted Stock Units Present Value Assumption: $0.026B

Stock Valuation based on these assumptions: $200

Last update 01/25/2026

All the content in this newsletter should be taken as informational content only. THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE! Do your own Due Diligence before investing or contact a professional financial advisor.

I don’t have a position in Yum! Brands (YUM) and I don’t plan to add a position in the coming days.